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OverviewThis collection, comprising key works by James J. Wirtz, explains how different threat perceptions can lead to strategic surprise attack, intelligence failure and the failure of deterrence. This volume adopts a strategist’s view of the issue of surprise and intelligence failure by placing these phenomena in the context of conflict between strong and weak actors in world affairs. A two-level theory explains the incentives and perceptions of both parties when significant imbalances of military power exist between potential combatants, and how this situation sets the stage for strategic surprise and intelligence failure to occur. The volume illustrates this theory by applying it to the Kargil Crisis, attacks launched by non-state actors, and by offering a comparison of Pearl Harbor and the September 11, 2001 attacks. It explores the phenomenon of deterrence failure; specifically, how weaker parties in an enduring or nascent conflict come to believe that deterrent threats posed by militarily stronger antagonists will be undermined by various constraints, increasing the attractiveness of utilising surprise attack to achieve their objectives. This work also offers strategies that could mitigate the occurrence of intelligence failure, strategic surprise and the failure of deterrence. This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, strategic studies, security studies and IR in general. Full Product DetailsAuthor: James Wirtz (Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, USA)Publisher: Taylor & Francis Ltd Imprint: Routledge Dimensions: Width: 15.60cm , Height: 1.30cm , Length: 23.40cm Weight: 0.270kg ISBN: 9781138942141ISBN 10: 1138942146 Pages: 158 Publication Date: 09 November 2016 Audience: College/higher education , Professional and scholarly , Tertiary & Higher Education , Professional & Vocational Format: Paperback Publisher's Status: Active Availability: In Print  This item will be ordered in for you from one of our suppliers. Upon receipt, we will promptly dispatch it out to you. For in store availability, please contact us. Table of ContentsPreface Introduction 1. Theory of Surprise Part I: The Theory of Surprise Applied 2. Surprise at the Top of the World 3. Surprise and the Non-State Actor 4. Déjà Vu? Comparing Pearl Harbor and 9/11 Part II: Surprise and Deterrence Failure 5. The Balance of Power Paradox 6. Deterring the Weak: Problems and Prospects Part III: Avoiding Surprise: Toward a New Intelligence Doctrine 7. Red Teaming Surprise 8. Indications and Warning in an Age of Uncertainty 9. From Combined Arms to Combined Intelligence: Philosophy, Doctrine and Operations 10. ConclusionReviews'Warning of threats to the Republic before they occur is the most important of all the many intelligence duties---and the main reason why America spends a fortune each year trying to understand where dangers lurk in this complex and uncertain world. The warning responsibility places an understanding of intelligence failure directly at the heart of U.S. national security considerations. Only a handful of people in the world can address this subject with authority and deep insight; James J. Wirtz is one of them. In this gracefully written and absorbing volume, he makes a strong case for a greater synergism and integration of this nation's intelligence efforts as a means for reducing the likelihood of failure. This book is one of the must reads for anyone interested in intelligence and national security as we enter an era of growing nuclear threats and ongoing global terrorism.' -- Loch K. Johnson, University of Georgia, USA 'This characteristically erudite and thought-provoking volume from one of the leading figures in both Intelligence Studies and Strategic Studies is required reading for those seeking to understand, and minimise the occurrence of, strategic surprise.' -- Mark Phythian, University of Leicester, UK Author InformationJames J. Wirtz is Professor and Dean of the School of International Graduate Studies at the Naval Postgraduate School Monterey, California, and author/editor of numerous books, including, most recently, Intelligence: The Secret World of Spies, 4th edition (ed., with Loch Johnson, 2015). Tab Content 6Author Website:Countries AvailableAll regions |
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