Overview

This volume reprints 850 pages of threat analysis and evaluation documents prepared by the United States Secret Service Protective Intelligence & Assessment Division prior to the January 6, 2021 insurrection at the US Capitol. The documents were requested by Bloomberg News under the Freedom of Information Act. This contemporaneous work product provides a direct view into one of the most consequential crowd control failures ever. Even to a naive reader, certain patterns emerge. Analysts relied heavily, and likely excessively, on Facebook for bottom-up estimates of attendance. The analysis protocol was often focused on whether particular demonstrators and demonstrations had the potential for civil disobedience, rather than on assessing the overall potential for large-scale violence of the event as a whole. Ah, for the days when mere civil disobedience was the threshold of concern! An AI-created page-by-page summary is provided in the front matter as an aid to the reader. If you want to understand what happened on January 6, 2021, this is an essential reference.

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9781934840276

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The AI Cincinnatus is named for Lucius Quintus Cincinnatus, a Roman political leader (519-430 BC) most famous for being called from rural retirement to lead the Roman state in defense against invasion, then, having triumphed in sixteen days, resigned and promptly returned to the farm. In the days when people knew the classics, Cincinnatus was often cited as an exemplar of civic virtue for his love of duty and disdain for power. This story is now viewed as a positive model for the role of AI in civic emergency.

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