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The Realist Warmonger's Playbook Feb 2025 Edition Author Bio: tedkostis @ linkedin Contents Foreword by the Author2 1 Technology dictates Geopolitics4 Transparent Battlespace5 Military Concept of ""First Strike Advantage""8 Reassessing the First Strike Concept: Russia's Consideration of Russian-Speaking Compatriots in Donbass13 Military Concept of the ""Tempo of War""17 Military Concept of Fully Autonomous Weapons20 Military Concept of Super (AI-enabled) Swarms24 Space Warfare: A Critical Disruptor in Future Warfare29 Hypersonic Missiles: A Persistent Battlefield Disruptor34 Grey Zone Tactics: A Persistent Strategy for Offensive Realism39 The Evolution of Stealth in Military Strategy: A Perspective on Offensive Realism44 US Energy Wars Against Europe Part II: No More Russian Gas via Ukraine 49 NO IMAGE: Fiber Optic Drones & their immunity to Electronic Warfare Jamming53 Game Theory on the End of Hostilities in Ukraine58 Wars of Necessity and of Choice through the Realist Prism63 Germany in Peril Without Russian Energy: Is the End of the Euro Imminent?73 From Banana Republics to Peer Competitors: Can U.S. Disruption Tactics Succeed Against Great Powers Like China?77 The Rise of Agentic AI on the Modern Battlefield: Transforming Warfare and Ethics81 The Agentic AI Robot General: A Paradigm shift86 The term ""Agentic-AI"" in military use88 2 Newspeak90 Newspeak: More Relevant Than Ever in Today's World91 3 Definitions of Realism97 Structural Realism: Power & Anarchy in International Relations98

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