Prospects for Political Stability in a Democratic Iraq: A Study of the Clusters of Conflict

Author:   Stephen R. Saunders ,  Karen K. Peterson
Publisher:   The Edwin Mellen Press Ltd
ISBN:  

9780773438705


Pages:   132
Publication Date:   September 2009
Format:   Hardback
Availability:   In Print   Availability explained
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Prospects for Political Stability in a Democratic Iraq: A Study of the Clusters of Conflict


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Overview

Clusters composed of a democratic state surrounded by autocratic states may be particularly conflict prone. If so, were Iraq to become an established democracy in the midst of mostly nondemocratic contiguous neighbors, we may expect increased conflict within the cluster. The current study, using COW and Polity data, analyzes 142 clusters over an extended period and finds support for the proposition that heterogeneous clusters with autocracies surrounding a democracy tend to be conflictual.

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Author:   Stephen R. Saunders ,  Karen K. Peterson
Publisher:   The Edwin Mellen Press Ltd
Imprint:   Edwin Mellen Press Ltd
ISBN:  

9780773438705


ISBN 10:   077343870
Pages:   132
Publication Date:   September 2009
Audience:   College/higher education ,  Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly
Format:   Hardback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   In Print   Availability explained
This item will be ordered in for you from one of our suppliers. Upon receipt, we will promptly dispatch it out to you. For in store availability, please contact us.

Table of Contents

Preface; Acknowledgments; 1. Introduction: Calamitous Clusters; 2. Three Streams of Literature; The Democratic Peace; Contiguity; Middle East Studies; 3. Cluster Propositions; Constructing Clusters; The Dependent Variable: MIDs and Wars; The Independent Variable: POLITY; Control Variables: Leave the Kitchen Sink at Home; Descriptive Statistics; 4. Testing Cluster Propositions; Who Initiates the Conflicts?; Will a Democratic Iraq Increase Conflict?; 5. Pausing for Provisos; Nonlinearity; Probabilistic Theory; MID Data; Alternative Explanations; 6. Do We Want Democracy in Iraq?; Appendix A; Entry Year of Clusters; Bibliography; Index.

Reviews

... example of research on the relationship between regime type and interstate conflict that is sensitive to, and in fact focused on, the policy implications of systematic empirical research... [done] in a manner that has up to this point been scarce in the recent torrent of research on the democratic peace proposition. - Prof. James Lee Ray Vanderbilt University


"""... example of research on the relationship between regime type and interstate conflict that is sensitive to, and in fact focused on, the policy implications of systematic empirical research... [done] in a manner that has up to this point been scarce in the recent torrent of research on the democratic peace proposition."" - Prof. James Lee Ray Vanderbilt University"""


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