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9781108710930

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'Throughout the masterful Polling at a Crossroads, Bailey provides a lucid explanation of the problems pollsters face and a compelling argument for why a new approach is needed. By bringing ideas and insights from various disciplines together, Bailey shows how pollsters can move beyond past approaches to tackle increasingly consequential issues related to survey non-response; respondents now differ from non-respondents in unobservable ways. In describing the issues confronting contemporary polling, the book builds to a convincing and forceful advocacy for the use of selection models in survey research and, in so doing, it provides a perspective that every pollster must consider going forward.' Josh Clinton, Abby and Jon Winkelried Chair, Vanderbilt University 'The idea of learning about a country of 300 millions from a sample of 300 is extremely seductive. But seduction often comes with dangers. Bailey's timely book explains why the dangers are increasingly fatal, and how the field of polling may save itself.' Xiao-Li Meng, Whipple V. N. Jones Professor of Statistics, Harvard University

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Michael A. Bailey is Walsh Professor in the Department of Government and McCourt School of Public Policy at Georgetown University, where he directs the Data Science for Public Policy program. His research has been published in top academic journals. He is author of Real Econometrics (2020) and The Constrained Court (2011).

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