Overview

This paper documents the result of a future technology forecast study to determine when operationally useful nano aerial vehicles or NAVs will be achieved. This was accomplished as part of the Blue Horizons Research Team tasked by the Chief of Staff of the United States Air Force to explore emerging technologies and make recommendations for long range investment. This study utilized a future forecasting method called the Delphi Method which was developed by the RAND Corporation in the 1960s to make the forecast. The results indicate NAVs capable of operating in swarms will be available within 10 years to perform operational missions. This paper recommends the Air Force begin work now to fully develop operational concepts and requirements for NAVs to guide future development work and enter the Joint Capabilities and Integration Development System to fully define capability requirements for swarming NAVs across the services to gain efficiencies in development and acquisition of these systems and to avoid duplicative requirements and programs. This work has been selected by scholars as being culturally important, and is part of the knowledge base of civilization as we know it. This work was reproduced from the original artifact, and remains as true to the original work as possible. Therefore, you will see the original copyright references, library stamps (as most of these works have been housed in our most important libraries around the world), and other notations in the work. This work is in the public domain in the United States of America, and possibly other nations. Within the United States, you may freely copy and distribute this work, as no entity (individual or corporate) has a copyright on the body of the work. As a reproduction of a historical artifact, this work may contain missing or blurred pages, poor pictures, errant marks, etc. Scholars believe, and we concur, that this work is important enough to be preserved, reproduced, and made generally available to the public. We appreciate your support of the preservation process, and thank you for being an important part of keeping this knowledge alive and relevant.

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