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OverviewWhy should we be interested in macroeconomic survey expectations? This important book offers an in-depth treatment of this question from a point of view not covered in existing works on time-series econometrics and forecasting. Clements presents the nature of survey data, addresses some of the difficulties posed by the way in which survey expectations are elicited and considers the evaluation of point predictions and probability distributions. He outlines how, from a behavioural perspective, surveys offer insight into how economic agents form their expectations. Full Product DetailsAuthor: Michael P. ClementsPublisher: Springer International Publishing AG Imprint: Springer International Publishing AG Edition: 1st ed. 2019 Weight: 0.500kg ISBN: 9783319972220ISBN 10: 3319972227 Pages: 196 Publication Date: 15 January 2019 Audience: Professional and scholarly , College/higher education , Professional & Vocational , Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly Format: Hardback Publisher's Status: Active Availability: Manufactured on demand  We will order this item for you from a manufactured on demand supplier. Table of ContentsChapter 1: Introduction.- Chapter 2: The Nature of Survey Expectations.- Chapter 3: Working with Forecast Data.- Chapter 4: Assessing the Point Predictions.- Chapter 5: Assessing the Accuracy of the Probability Distributions.- Chapter 6: Consistency of the Point Forecasts and Probability Distributions.- Chapter 7: Macroeconomic Uncertainty - Surveys versus Models?.- Chapter 8: Behavioural Models of Expectations Formation.- Chapter 9: Expectations Shocks and the Macroeconomy.ReviewsAuthor InformationMichael Clements is Professor of Econometrics at the ICMA Centre, Henley Business School, University of Reading, UK. He is Series Editor of Palgrave Texts in Econometrics and Palgrave Advanced Texts in Econometrics, and has published extensively on time series econometrics, modelling and forecasting. Tab Content 6Author Website:Countries AvailableAll regions |
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