Learning, Rare Disasters, and Asset Prices

Author:   Federal Reserve Board
Publisher:   Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
ISBN:  

9781503231191


Pages:   34
Publication Date:   15 November 2014
Format:   Paperback
Availability:   In stock   Availability explained
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Learning, Rare Disasters, and Asset Prices


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Overview

In this study, we examine how learning about disaster risk affects asset pricing in an endowment economy. We extend the literature on rare disasters by allowing for two sources of uncertainty: (1) the lack of historical data results in unknown parameters for the disaster process, and (2) the disaster takes time to unfold and is not directly observable. The model generates time variation in the risk premium through Bayesian updating of agents' beliefs regarding the likelihood and severity of disaster realization. The model accounts for the level and volatility of U.S. equity returns and generates predictability in returns.

Full Product Details

Author:   Federal Reserve Board
Publisher:   Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Imprint:   Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Dimensions:   Width: 21.60cm , Height: 0.20cm , Length: 28.00cm
Weight:   0.104kg
ISBN:  

9781503231191


ISBN 10:   1503231194
Pages:   34
Publication Date:   15 November 2014
Audience:   General/trade ,  General
Format:   Paperback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   In stock   Availability explained
We have confirmation that this item is in stock with the supplier. It will be ordered in for you and dispatched immediately.

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