Information Rigidities: Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel

Author:   Jonas Dovern ,  Ulrich Fritsche
Publisher:   International Monetary Fund
ISBN:  

9781306513500


Pages:   25
Publication Date:   01 January 2014
Format:   Electronic book text
Availability:   In stock   Availability explained
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Information Rigidities: Comparing Average and Individual Forecasts for a Large International Panel


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Overview

We study forecasts for real GDP growth using a large panel of individual forecasts from 36 advanced and emerging economies during 1989–2010. We show that the degree of information rigidity in average forecasts is substantially higher than that in individual forecasts. Individual level forecasts are updated quite frequently, a behavior more in line “noisy” information models (Woodford, 2002; Sims, 2003) than with the assumptions of the sticky information model (Mankiw and Reis, 2002). While there are cross-country variations in information rigidity, there is no systematic difference between advanced and emerging economies.

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Author:   Jonas Dovern ,  Ulrich Fritsche
Publisher:   International Monetary Fund
Imprint:   International Monetary Fund
ISBN:  

9781306513500


ISBN 10:   1306513502
Pages:   25
Publication Date:   01 January 2014
Audience:   General/trade ,  General
Format:   Electronic book text
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   In stock   Availability explained
We have confirmation that this item is in stock with the supplier. It will be ordered in for you and dispatched immediately.

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