Deconstructing Wheat Price Spikes: A Model of Supply and Demand, Financial Speculation, and Commodity Price Comovement: Economic Research Report Number 165

Author:   United States Department of Agriculture
Publisher:   Createspace
ISBN:  

9781515045892


Pages:   50
Publication Date:   13 July 2015
Format:   Paperback
Availability:   In stock   Availability explained
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Deconstructing Wheat Price Spikes: A Model of Supply and Demand, Financial Speculation, and Commodity Price Comovement: Economic Research Report Number 165


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Overview

In 2008, wheat futures prices spiked and then crashed along with prices for other agricultural and nonagricultural commodities. Market observers offered several theories to explain this common movement, or comovement, in prices, and have proposed policies to address the perceived problem of excessive price volatility. The design of an appropriate policy response would benefit from a better understanding of the cause of the observed price movements. This study uses an econometric model to decompose observed wheat prices into a set of economic factors and measure the relative contribution of each factor to observed price changes. Findings show that market-specific shocks related to supply and demand for wheat were the dominant cause of price spikes in the three U.S. wheat futures markets. Fluctuations in the global macroeconomy associated with broadbased demand shocks were relatively less significant for wheat than for other commodities like crude oil and corn. Finally, little evidence suggests commodity index trading contributed to recent price spikes.

Full Product Details

Author:   United States Department of Agriculture
Publisher:   Createspace
Imprint:   Createspace
Dimensions:   Width: 21.60cm , Height: 0.30cm , Length: 27.90cm
Weight:   0.141kg
ISBN:  

9781515045892


ISBN 10:   1515045897
Pages:   50
Publication Date:   13 July 2015
Audience:   General/trade ,  General
Format:   Paperback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   In stock   Availability explained
We have confirmation that this item is in stock with the supplier. It will be ordered in for you and dispatched immediately.

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