Overview

Before the Vote presents leading political scientists'' forecasts of the 1996 US presidential election, and methodological analysis.'

Full Product Details

Author:   James E. Campbell ,  James C. Garand ,  James E. Campbell ,  James C. Garand
Publisher:   SAGE Publications Inc
Imprint:   SAGE Publications Inc
Dimensions:   Width: 15.20cm , Height: 1.30cm , Length: 22.80cm
Weight:   0.450kg
ISBN:  

9780761916369

ISBN 10:   0761916369
Pages:   232
Publication Date:   07 February 2000
Audience:   Professional and scholarly ,  Professional & Vocational
Format:   Hardback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   Out of stock  
The supplier is temporarily out of stock of this item. It will be ordered for you on backorder and shipped when it becomes available.

Table of Contents

PART ONE: INTRODUCTION Forecasting US National Elections - James E Campbell and James C Garand PART TWO: FORECASTS OF THE 1996 AMERICAN NATIONAL ELECTIONS Polls and Votes - James E Campbell The Trial-Heat Presidential Election Forecasting Model, Certainty, and Political Campaigns Bill and Al′s Excellent Adventure - Alan Abramowitz Forecasting the 1996 Presidential Election Of Time and Candidates - Helmut Norpoth A Forecast for 1996 The Future in Forecasting - Michael Lewis-Beck and Charles Tien Prospective Presidential Models Temporal Horizons and Presidential Election Forecasts - Christopher Wlezien and Robert S Erikson Reading the Political Tea Leaves - Thomas Holbrook A Forecasting Model of Contemporary Presidential Elections Election Forecasting - Brad Lockerbie A Look to the Future Poll-Based Forecasts and the House Vote in Presidential Election Years - Robert S Erikson and Lee Sigelman 1952-1992 and 1996 PART THREE: PERSPECTIVES ON ELECTION FORECASTING Evaluating Forecasts and Forecasting Models of the 1996 Presidential Election - Nathaniel Beck The Science of Forecasting Presidential Elections - James E Campbell

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