World Population & Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century: An Overview

Author:   Wolfgang Lutz (Founding Director, Founding Director, Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/ ÖAW, WU)) ,  William P. Butz (Senior Research Scholar and Director of Communications and Outreach, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis and Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Human Capital) ,  Samir KC (Project Leader, Project Leader, Wittgenstein Centre)
Publisher:   Oxford University Press
ISBN:  

9780198813422


Pages:   732
Publication Date:   21 September 2017
Format:   Paperback
Availability:   Manufactured on demand   Availability explained
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World Population & Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century: An Overview


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Overview

Condensed into a detailed analysis and a selection of continent-wide datasets, this revised edition of World Population & Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century addresses the role of educational attainment in global population trends and models. Presenting the full chapter text of the original edition alongside a concise selection of data, it summarizes past trends in fertility, mortality, migration, and education, and examines relevant theories to identify key determining factors.Deriving from a global survey of hundreds of experts and five expert meetings on as many continents, World Population & Human Capital in the Twenty-First Century: An Overview emphasizes alternative trends in human capital, new ways of studying ageing and the quantification of alternative population, and education pathways in the context of global sustainable development. It is an ideal companion to the county specific online Wittgenstein Centre Data Explorer.

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Author:   Wolfgang Lutz (Founding Director, Founding Director, Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital (IIASA, VID/ ÖAW, WU)) ,  William P. Butz (Senior Research Scholar and Director of Communications and Outreach, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis and Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Human Capital) ,  Samir KC (Project Leader, Project Leader, Wittgenstein Centre)
Publisher:   Oxford University Press
Imprint:   Oxford University Press
Dimensions:   Width: 17.10cm , Height: 4.10cm , Length: 24.70cm
Weight:   1.270kg
ISBN:  

9780198813422


ISBN 10:   0198813422
Pages:   732
Publication Date:   21 September 2017
Audience:   Professional and scholarly ,  Professional & Vocational
Format:   Paperback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   Manufactured on demand   Availability explained
We will order this item for you from a manufactured on demand supplier.

Table of Contents

1: Wolfgang Lutz and William P. Butz: Introduction 2: Wolfgang Lutz and Vegard Skirbekk: How Education Drives Demography and Knowledge Informs Projections 3: Stuart Basten, Tomas Sobotka, and Krystof Zeman: Future Fertility in Low Fertility Countries 4: Regina Fuchs and Anne Goujon: Future Fertility in High Fertility Countries 5: Graziella Caselli, Sven Drefahl, Marc Luy, and Christian Wegner-Siegmundt: Future Mortality in Low Mortality Countries 6: Alessandra Garbero and Elsie Pamuk: Future Mortality in High Mortality 7: Nikola Sander, Guy Abel, and Fernando Riosmena: The Future of International Migration 8: Bilal Barakat and Rachel Durham: Future Education Trends 9: Samir KC, Michaela Potancková, Ramon Bauer, Anne Goujon, and Erich Striessnig: Data and Methods 10: Wolfgang Lutz and Samir KC: The Rise of Global Human Capital and the End of World Population Growth 11: Sergei Scherbov, Warren Sanderson, Samir KC, and Wolfgang Lutz: Remeasuring 21st Century Population Ageing 12: Samir KC and Wolfgang Lutz: Alternative Scenarios in the Context of Sustainable Development Wolfgang Lutz: Epilogue: Education Changes our View of the Future Appendix I: Forecasting Mortality Convergence up to 2100 Appendix II: Tabular Appendix

Reviews

Review from previous edition Provides an excellent summary of the state of the discipline, as it concerns itself with the determinants of fertility, mortality, migration, the changing population composition by education, and the meaning of age. Roderic Beaujot, University of Western Ontario, Canadian Studies in Population Projections of the educational composition of adult populations is the major achievement of this book. Opinions will vary on whether education should be routinely added to demographic projections but there is no doubting that this contribution of Lutz and colleagues will prove useful in education and manpower planning. John Cleland, Population Studies This is a path-breaking book which signals the ever-increasing importance of education to demography, economics and the delivery of equal opportunities and fair outcomes. The Rt Hon Gordon Brown MP, UN Special Envoy for Global Education This monumental, pioneering volume proselytizes for a new trinity of fundamentals of demography: age, sex, and education. If this book succeeds in its mission, as I hope it will, the future will look different, not only for the science of demography, but also for all people's lives. Professor Joel E. Cohen, The Rockefeller University and Columbia University, New York This is a valuable guide to data, analysis, and expert opinion bearing on the world's demographic future. Particularly instructive is the consistent focus on the transformative role of educational progress. Professor Samuel H. Preston, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia This book on human numbers and the quality of lives will deservedly become our first port of call whenever we seek to understand our past and our possible futures. It is simply a monumental piece of work. Professor Sir Partha Dasgupta, University of Cambridge, United Kingdom


Author Information

Wolfgang Lutz is Founding Director of the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, a new collaboration between the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), the Austrian Academy of Sciences and the WU-Vienna University of Economics and Business. He is director of the Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences and Professor of Applied Statistics at the WU. He is also Professorial Research Fellow at the Oxford Martin School for 21st Century Studies. He is author of the series of world population projections produced at IIASA and has developed approaches for projecting education and human capital. He is also principal investigator of the Asian MetaCentre for Population and Sustainable Development Analysis. Lutz is author and editor of 28 books and more than 200 refereed articles, including 8 in Science and Nature. In 2008 he received an ERC Advanced Grant, in 2009 the Mattei Dogan Award of the IUSSP, and in 2010 the Wittgenstein Prize. William P. Butz is a Senior Research Scholar with the World Population Program and Director of Coordination and Outreach at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital. Previously he was president and chief executive officer of the Population Reference Bureau. Before joining PRB, he was senior economist at the RAND Corporation; associate director of the US Census Bureau, where he was in charge of household surveys, international activities, and population estimates and projections, and division director for social and behavioral sciences at the National Science Foundation. Mr Butz has taught economic development at UCLA and the University of California at Santa Barbara, served on numerous commissions and boards, and written more than 80 research and policy papers on a variety of topics related to economic demography, nutrition and health, and statistical and science policy. Since 2001, he has served on the Board of Reviewing Editors of Science magazine. Samir KC is Leader of the project 'Modelling Human Capital Formation' at the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. KC's master's degree in statistics is from Tribhuvan University, Nepal (1997). Subsequently, he taught university statistics in Kathmandu and worked as a biostatistician at the Nepal Health Research Council. KC received his PhD from the University of Groningen, the Netherlands (2009) and has worked as a Research Scholar at the World Population Program at IIASA since 2005. His major research interests are: developing and applying multi-state population models in demographic analysis and projections with a particular focus on modeling human capital formation in education and health; and differential vulnerability to natural disasters. KC has published in Science magazine (2011) and other peer-reviewed journals.

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