Overview

National intelligence agencies have long adjusted to the opportunities and threats from new technologies. From spy planes and satellites to the internet, they have created structures, concepts, and practices to best apply these new capabilities. But recent technological developments are different in kind. Increasingly affordable to non-governmental actors, they are powerful enough to overwhelm and marginalize much of what agencies do. So far, the large intelligence agencies have been too slow to recognize the need for transformation. They believe they can work emerging technologies into the current paradigm just as they have with other advances. This book argues that only with a new paradigm can they take up this fundamentally new technological challenge. The book explores this fast-developing world for intelligence agencies and offers a path for maintaining their effectiveness and centrality. Along the way it analyzes the emerging technologies and explains how these will likely affect intelligence work. The Future of National Intelligence: How Emerging Technologies Reshape Intelligence Communities draws on a broad review of the academic literature, a deep familiarity with the relevant technologies, and extensive interviews and surveys with both intelligence practitioners and technology entrepreneurs. It lays out the principles for agency leaders to consider as they work on this essential transformation.

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9781538160695

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Reviews

"As technology continues to advance, government officials and scholars around the world are struggling to understand and evaluate national intelligence. Dr. Hershkovitz's book provides us with a sophisticated way of understanding how technology impacts intelligence, thus enabling strategists to design the transformation of intelligence systems in a way that harnesses technology effectively. Hershkovitz makes a significant contribution to our understanding on what is perhaps the most important challenge facing many national intelligence systems: how to ensure that governments use technology effectively to develop the knowledge needed to make the best decisions.--Stephen Marrin, Editor, Intelligence and National Security Dr. Hershkovitz has produced one of the best 'future of intelligence' books that I have read. He insightfully assesses the current state of national intelligence and offers achievable prescriptions for moving forward. Hershkovitz's book comes at an important time because, as he notes, intelligence is at a historical crossroads. The decisions made by intelligence leaders today will have consequences for decades, and this book should be their guide.--Michael Morell, Former Deputy Director and Acting Director, CIA Hershkovitz is an experienced intelligence expert who deeply understands the implications of new technologies on national intelligence. In his illuminating book, he proposes important principles as a compass to navigate in the intelligence world to meet the challenges.--Moshe ""Bogie"" Ya'alon, Former Israeli Defense Minister and Former Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces This pioneering book comes at the right moment. We live in the Age of Information, dominated by computer technologies. Hershkovitz offers a clear and insightful analysis of the impact of these new technologies on national intelligence. A must read for current analysts.--Isaac Ben Israel, Tel Aviv University professor, Chairperson of the Israel Space Agency and of Israel National Council for R&D"

"Although a year old, the book deserves current attention as the IC seeks to implement the new National Intelligence Strategy, learn lessons from the Ukraine war, and prepare itself for technologic changes and geopolitical threats posed mostly by a rising China. Hershkovitz is hardly the first to state the concerns so starkly. As the pace and breadth of the digital revolution became manifest over the past several years, thinktanks, scholars and public officials have all sounded the alarm about the looming deficiencies in our IC. -- ""The Cipher Brief"" As technology continues to advance, government officials and scholars around the world are struggling to understand and evaluate national intelligence. Dr. Hershkovitz's book provides us with a sophisticated way of understanding how technology impacts intelligence, thus enabling strategists to design the transformation of intelligence systems in a way that harnesses technology effectively. Hershkovitz makes a significant contribution to our understanding on what is perhaps the most important challenge facing many national intelligence systems: how to ensure that governments use technology effectively to develop the knowledge needed to make the best decisions. --Stephen Marrin, Editor, Intelligence and National Security Dr. Hershkovitz has produced one of the best 'future of intelligence' books that I have read. He insightfully assesses the current state of national intelligence and offers achievable prescriptions for moving forward. Hershkovitz's book comes at an important time because, as he notes, intelligence is at a historical crossroads. The decisions made by intelligence leaders today will have consequences for decades, and this book should be their guide. --Michael Morell, Former Deputy Director and Acting Director, CIA Hershkovitz is an experienced intelligence expert who deeply understands the implications of new technologies on national intelligence. In his illuminating book, he proposes important principles as a compass to navigate in the intelligence world to meet the challenges. --Moshe ""Bogie"" Ya'alon, Former Israeli Defense Minister and Former Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces This pioneering book comes at the right moment. We live in the Age of Information, dominated by computer technologies. Hershkovitz offers a clear and insightful analysis of the impact of these new technologies on national intelligence. A must read for current analysts. --Isaac Ben Israel, Tel Aviv University professor, Chairperson of the Israel Space Agency and of Israel National Council for R&D Although a year old, the book deserves current attention as the IC seeks to implement the new National Intelligence Strategy, learn lessons from the Ukraine war, and prepare itself for technologic changes and geopolitical threats posed mostly by a rising China. Hershkovitz is hardly the first to state the concerns so starkly. As the pace and breadth of the digital revolution became manifest over the past several years, thinktanks, scholars and public officials have all sounded the alarm about the looming deficiencies in our IC. As technology continues to advance, government officials and scholars around the world are struggling to understand and evaluate national intelligence. Dr. Hershkovitz's book provides us with a sophisticated way of understanding how technology impacts intelligence, thus enabling strategists to design the transformation of intelligence systems in a way that harnesses technology effectively. Hershkovitz makes a significant contribution to our understanding on what is perhaps the most important challenge facing many national intelligence systems: how to ensure that governments use technology effectively to develop the knowledge needed to make the best decisions. Dr. Hershkovitz has produced one of the best 'future of intelligence' books that I have read. He insightfully assesses the current state of national intelligence and offers achievable prescriptions for moving forward. Hershkovitz's book comes at an important time because, as he notes, intelligence is at a historical crossroads. The decisions made by intelligence leaders today will have consequences for decades, and this book should be their guide. Hershkovitz is an experienced intelligence expert who deeply understands the implications of new technologies on national intelligence. In his illuminating book, he proposes important principles as a compass to navigate in the intelligence world to meet the challenges. This pioneering book comes at the right moment. We live in the Age of Information, dominated by computer technologies. Hershkovitz offers a clear and insightful analysis of the impact of these new technologies on national intelligence. A must read for current analysts."

Although a year old, the book deserves current attention as the IC seeks to implement the new National Intelligence Strategy, learn lessons from the Ukraine war, and prepare itself for technologic changes and geopolitical threats posed mostly by a rising China. Hershkovitz is hardly the first to state the concerns so starkly. As the pace and breadth of the digital revolution became manifest over the past several years, thinktanks, scholars and public officials have all sounded the alarm about the looming deficiencies in our IC. As technology continues to advance, government officials and scholars around the world are struggling to understand and evaluate national intelligence. Dr. Hershkovitz's book provides us with a sophisticated way of understanding how technology impacts intelligence, thus enabling strategists to design the transformation of intelligence systems in a way that harnesses technology effectively. Hershkovitz makes a significant contribution to our understanding on what is perhaps the most important challenge facing many national intelligence systems: how to ensure that governments use technology effectively to develop the knowledge needed to make the best decisions. Dr. Hershkovitz has produced one of the best 'future of intelligence' books that I have read. He insightfully assesses the current state of national intelligence and offers achievable prescriptions for moving forward. Hershkovitz's book comes at an important time because, as he notes, intelligence is at a historical crossroads. The decisions made by intelligence leaders today will have consequences for decades, and this book should be their guide. Hershkovitz is an experienced intelligence expert who deeply understands the implications of new technologies on national intelligence. In his illuminating book, he proposes important principles as a compass to navigate in the intelligence world to meet the challenges. This pioneering book comes at the right moment. We live in the Age of Information, dominated by computer technologies. Hershkovitz offers a clear and insightful analysis of the impact of these new technologies on national intelligence. A must read for current analysts.

As technology continues to advance, government officials and scholars around the world are struggling to understand and evaluate national intelligence. Dr. Hershkovitz's book provides us with a sophisticated way of understanding how technology impacts intelligence, thus enabling strategists to design the transformation of intelligence systems in a way that harnesses technology effectively. Hershkovitz makes a significant contribution to our understanding on what is perhaps the most important challenge facing many national intelligence systems: how to ensure that governments use technology effectively to develop the knowledge needed to make the best decisions.--Stephen Marrin, Editor, Intelligence and National Security Dr. Hershkovitz has produced one of the best 'future of intelligence' books that I have read. He insightfully assesses the current state of national intelligence and offers achievable prescriptions for moving forward. Hershkovitz's book comes at an important time because, as he notes, intelligence is at a historical crossroads. The decisions made by intelligence leaders today will have consequences for decades, and this book should be their guide.--Michael Morell, Former Deputy Director and Acting Director, CIA Hershkovitz is an experienced intelligence expert who deeply understands the implications of new technologies on national intelligence. In his illuminating book, he proposes important principles as a compass to navigate in the intelligence world to meet the challenges.--Moshe Bogie Ya'alon, Former Israeli Defense Minister and Former Chief of Staff of the Israel Defense Forces This pioneering book comes at the right moment. We live in the Age of Information, dominated by computer technologies. Hershkovitz offers a clear and insightful analysis of the impact of these new technologies on national intelligence. A must read for current analysts.--Isaac Ben Israel, Tel Aviv University professor, Chairperson of the Israel Space Agency and of Israel National Council for R&D

Author Information

Shay Hershkovitzis is a senior research fellow at the Intelligence Methodology Research Center in Israel. He has over 20 years of experience in the Strategy and Research industry space; inlcuding in the Israeli intellgience community, the private sector and academia. is co-author of AMAN Comes to Light: Israeli Military Intelligence in the 1950s, and the author of dozens of academic articles. He writes regularly in U.S. media such as Wired, TechCrunch, and TheHill.com, and speaks to a variety of audiences.

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