Scenario Thinking: Practical Approaches to the Future

Author:   G. Wright ,  G. Cairns
Publisher:   Palgrave Macmillan
ISBN:  

9780230271562


Pages:   192
Publication Date:   03 May 2011
Format:   Hardback
Availability:   In Print   Availability explained
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Scenario Thinking: Practical Approaches to the Future


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Overview

Presents new methods in scenario thinking, based on a mix of high-level research and top-level consultancy experience. The authors describe the logical bases of a range of scenario methods and provide detailed 'road maps' on how to implement them - together with practical examples of their application.

Full Product Details

Author:   G. Wright ,  G. Cairns
Publisher:   Palgrave Macmillan
Imprint:   Palgrave Macmillan
Dimensions:   Width: 14.00cm , Height: 1.70cm , Length: 21.60cm
Weight:   0.375kg
ISBN:  

9780230271562


ISBN 10:   0230271561
Pages:   192
Publication Date:   03 May 2011
Audience:   Professional and scholarly ,  Professional & Vocational
Format:   Hardback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   In Print   Availability explained
This item will be ordered in for you from one of our suppliers. Upon receipt, we will promptly dispatch it out to you. For in store availability, please contact us.

Table of Contents

Acknowledgements Introduction Why should the individual and organization practice scenario thinking? Working with scenarios: introducing the basic method Incorporating stakeholder values and facilitating critique of scenario storylines Understanding stakeholder viewpoints. Augmented scenario approaches: delving deeper and stretching wider Scenarios and decision analysis Creating robust strategies and robust organizations The backward logic method of constructing extreme scenarios Diagnosing organizational receptiveness Summary Appendix 1

Reviews

An essential guide to scenario thinking for all organizations - and forward looking individuals . - Prof Ziauddin Sardar, Editor, Futures


Author Information

George Wright is currently Professor of Management at Durham Business School, University of Durham, UK. He has consulted and provided management development programmes on scenario thinking and decision making with organizations such as Bayer, EADS, Petronas, Scottish Power, Thales, United Utilities, and national and local government in the UK. He has published on scenario thinking in international journals, including Futures, Technological Forecasting and Social Change, International Journal of Forecasting, Journal of Management Studies, and Organization Studies. George Cairns is currently Head of School of Management at RMIT University, Australia. He has worked with scenario method and delivered workshops for organizations including National Air Traffic Services, South East England Development Agency, the Facility Management Association of Australia, and the Risk Management Institution of Australasia. He has contributed to a project exploring higher education futures for Romania, funded by the European Social Fund, and has published in international journals, including Technological Forecasting and Social Change and Futures. Both authors can be contacted by e-mail via: scenariothinkers@gmail.com

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