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OverviewAt last, a comprehensive guide that meets psychologists and other social scientists' growing need to master the tools of statistical prediction. Prediction Statistics for Psychological Assessment, by R. Karl Hanson, is the first book to teach students and practitioners the nuts and bolts of prediction statistics, while illustrating the utility of prediction and prediction tools in applied psychological practice. This valuable resource uses real-world examples, helpful explanations and practice exercises to support the use of prediction tools in psychological assessment. Actuarial risk assessment evaluators need to know how prediction tools work, how to evaluate them, and how to interpret their results in applied assessments. Written in a clear and accessible manner, this user-friendly book helps readers understand how to evaluate and interpret different kinds of prediction tools, appreciate the numeric information used in risk communication, and utilize prediction tools to inform evidence-based decision making. Full Product DetailsAuthor: R. Karl HansonPublisher: American Psychological Association Imprint: American Psychological Association Weight: 0.772kg ISBN: 9781433836411ISBN 10: 1433836416 Pages: 448 Publication Date: 14 December 2021 Audience: Professional and scholarly , Professional & Vocational Format: Paperback Publisher's Status: Active Availability: In stock  We have confirmation that this item is in stock with the supplier. It will be ordered in for you and dispatched immediately. Table of ContentsPreface Part I: Background and Overview Chapter 1: Introduction to Prediction Statistics in Psychology Chapter 2: The Nature of Probability Chapter 3: Overview of the Statistics Chapters Part II: Statistics for Describing Likelihoods Chapter 4: Proportions Chapter 5: Discrete-Time Survival Analysis Chapter 6: Kaplan-Meier Survival Analysis Part III: Discrimination and Relative Risk Chapter 7: Dichotomous Predictors Chapter 8: Area Under the Curve Chapter 9: Cohen's d Chapter 10: Cox Regression Chapter 11: Logistic Regression Part IV: Calibration Chapter 12: Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit Chapter 13: The E/O Index Chapter 14: Meta-Analysis Chapter 15: Calibration Plots Part V: Percentile Ranks Chapter 16: Percentiles Part VI: Practice Considerations Chapter 17: Estimating the Quality of Prediction Tools Chapter 18: Standardizing Risk Communication Chapter 19: Going Even Further Appendix: Useful Algebra and Notation Glossary References Index About the AuthorsReviewsAdvances in the field of risk assessment have been facilitated by improvements in prediction statistics. Until now there has been no comprehensive guide for those in the field. As a research and practice leader, Hanson delivers a learned volume that is readily accessible. It teaches specific statistics along with the role of prediction statistics in forensic assessment. It is a must-read for forensic researchers and practitioners intending to put research into practice.--Distinguished Professor James Ogloff, AM, Director, Centre for Forensic Behavioural Science, Swinburne University of Technology, and Executive Director, Psychological Services & Research, Forensicare, Victoria, Australia Karl Hanson--an international luminary in the field of psychological assessment--has written a cogent, meticulous, and comprehensive guide to the statistics used to predict human behavior. This lucidly written work will have an immense and long-lasting impact on the field. It needs to be within arm's reach on the bookshelf of every clinical researcher and every evidence-based clinician.--John Monahan, PhD, Shannon Distinguished Professor of Law, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, United States Karl Hanson, one of the preeminent experts on criminal risk prediction, has produced an informative text that should be required reading for any professional involved in mental health assessment. Dr. Hanson skillfully presents complex concepts in a simple to read and understand text that will inform the future of psychological (and other mental health) assessment. A must-have on the bookshelf of practitioners and researchers alike.--Robert D. Morgan, PhD, Dean, College of Health and Human Sciences, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale, IL, United States Karl Hanson, one of the preeminent experts on criminal risk prediction, has produced an informative text that should be required reading for any professional involved in mental health assessment. Dr. Hanson skillfully presents complex concepts in a simple to read and understand text that will inform the future of psychological (and other mental health) assessment. A must-have on the bookshelf of practitioners and researchers alike. -- Robert D. Morgan, PhD, Dean, College of Health and Human Sciences, Southern Illinois University, Carbondale, IL, United States Karl Hanson—an international luminary in the field of psychological assessment—has written a cogent, meticulous, and comprehensive guide to the statistics used to predict human behavior. This lucidly written work will have an immense and long-lasting impact on the field. It needs to be within arm’s reach on the bookshelf of every clinical researcher and every evidence-based clinician. -- John Monahan, PhD, Shannon Distinguished Professor of Law, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, United States Advances in the field of risk assessment have been facilitated by improvements in prediction statistics. Until now there has been no comprehensive guide for those in the field. As a research and practice leader, Hanson delivers a learned volume that is readily accessible. It teaches specific statistics along with the role of prediction statistics in forensic assessment. It is a must-read for forensic researchers and practitioners intending to put research into practice. -- Distinguished Professor James Ogloff, AM, Director, Centre for Forensic Behavioural Science, Swinburne University of Technology, and Executive Director, Psychological Services & Research, Forensicare, Victoria, Australia Author InformationR. Karl Hanson, PhD is an adjunct research professor at Carleton University, Ottawa, Canada and formerly a researcher with Public Safety Canada from 1991-2017. His research concerns risk assessment and rehabilitation for individuals in the criminal justice and forensic mental health systems, with a particular focus on sexual offenders. He has a strong interest in the statistical methods used to quantify risk and to evaluate change over time. Follow @rkarlhanson and visit carleton.ca/psychology. Tab Content 6Author Website:Countries AvailableAll regions |
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