Overview

The problem of global and regional climate interactions is receiving increased attention in light of anticipated global warming and its possible environmental and societal consequences. The Caspian Sea Basin is a region where such consequences may be particularly significant. This book traces the complex linkages between climatic changes in the Caspian Sea Basin and global climatic processes. The main focus of this study is the Caspian Sea level (CSL). An unusual rise in the CSL that occurred after 1977 has significantly affected the economy of the region. The question is whether this rise is an indication of anthropogenic global warming, or if it has natural causes. This study is an attempt to identify mechanisms linking the CSL with large-scale processes in the ocean and atmosphere. Emphasis is on interannual and decadal time scales, while longer-term climatic variations are also considered. The final chapter discusses possible changes in the CSL under conditions of greenhouse gas-induced global warming. The book should be of interest to a wide range of scientists working in the fields of hydrology, climatology, meteorology and environmental science, as well as resource managers and policy-makers concerned with climate impacts on water resources and sea level.

Full Product Details

Author:   S. Rodionov
Publisher:   Springer
Imprint:   Springer
Edition:   1994 ed.
Volume:   11
Dimensions:   Width: 17.00cm , Height: 1.50cm , Length: 24.40cm
Weight:   1.190kg
ISBN:  

9780792327844

ISBN 10:   0792327845
Pages:   243
Publication Date:   30 April 1994
Audience:   College/higher education ,  Professional and scholarly ,  Undergraduate ,  Postgraduate, Research & Scholarly
Format:   Hardback
Publisher's Status:   Active
Availability:   In Print  
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Table of Contents

1 Introduction.- 2 Seasonal and Longer-Term Changes of Climatic Characteristics in the Caspian Sea Basin.- 2.1 General climate characteristics.- 2.2 Long-term changes in the seasonal cycle.- 2.3 Interannual and longer-term changes.- 2.4 Temporal changes in the frequency structure.- 3 The Caspian Sea and Climatic Processes in the Northern Hemisphere.- 3.1 Teleconnections.- 3.2 Atmospheric circulation patterns during a rise and decline in the CSL.- 3.3 The role of the North Atlantic.- 3.4 The extraordinary rise in the CSL after 1977.- 3.5 Climate and CSL changes during the past millennium.- 4 Forecasting the Caspian Sea Level.- 4.1 Causes of the CSL fluctuations.- 4.2 Comparative analysis of ‘climatological’ methods.- 4.3 Instability of correlation relationships.- 4.4 An approach based on probabilistic logic.- 4.5 Experimental results.- 5 Caspian Sea Level and Anticipated Global Warming.- 5.1 Global climate modelling.- 5.2 Paleoclimate analogues.- 5.3 Climate of the 1980s and early 1990s.- Concluding Remarks.- Appendix Fortran-Program for Constructing a Linkage Tree.- References.

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